COVID-19: INDIA

It pains me to write this, but it seems Covid-19 is exploding in India.

They did well early on, but new cases are now reaching up to 200,000 a day and the rate of daily cases is sharply increasing. 

The country has exceeded Brazil for total cases, and while the US is still number one at 31 million, India is at 14 million cases and may overtake the US in the coming months.

This is not good, and will such a large viral reservoir encourage further variants to arise?

I foresee two paths; one is that India manages to wrestle this into some sort of (mostly) manageable situation - a possibility that seems unlikely given that at time of writing only 1% of the population has been fully inoculated and it is accepted that 70% is needed if herd immunity is to be achieved.

The other is that India becomes a truly awful spectacle and one that the world has to take note of and cannot turn its back on. 

Regardless, the developing situation in India is something to keep an eye on in the coming months.





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